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	<title>The Chris Jones Group &#187; mortgage lending</title>
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	<link>http://thechrisjonesgroup.com/chrisjonesmortgage</link>
	<description>Mortgages, home loans, and a whole lot of other stuff.</description>
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		<title>RateWatch ALERT &#8211; Thanks for nothing, CreditSuisse!</title>
		<link>http://thechrisjonesgroup.com/chrisjonesmortgage/2009/05/21/ratewatch-alert-thanks-for-nothing-creditsuisse/</link>
		<comments>http://thechrisjonesgroup.com/chrisjonesmortgage/2009/05/21/ratewatch-alert-thanks-for-nothing-creditsuisse/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 May 2009 21:52:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>chrisjones</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Rate Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage lending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RateWatch]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://thechrisjonesgroup.com/chrisjonesmortgage/?p=693</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Market:  We got whacked today by a report out of CreditSuisse that speculates that the Fed will slow down its buying of mortgage-backed securities in order to conserve its cash, so that it can keep rates lower longer.  This is speculation.  I think they&#8217;re wrong.  This doesn&#8217;t matter at all, because the markets spooked and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><strong>Market</strong>:  We got whacked today by a <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/bondsNews/idUSN2154860420090521">report out of CreditSuisse</a> that speculates that the Fed will slow down its buying of mortgage-backed securities in order to conserve its cash, so that it can keep rates lower longer.  This is speculation.  I think they&#8217;re wrong.  This doesn&#8217;t matter at all, because the markets spooked and bonds went in the tank.  That will take rates up by as much as .25%.</div>
<p><div><strong>Analysis</strong>: CreditSuisse has a lot smarter people on board than I am, so maybe they&#8217;re right.  But here&#8217;s my question &#8211; if the government started out with a $750 billion buying plan, then felt the need to up it to $1.25 trillion (of which well less than half is spent), and did so without any difficulty, why on earth would it have any trouble doing it again if it needed to?  Is the $1.25 trillion some sort of hard cap?  Who made that the limit?  Is there any evidence that President Obama would hesitate to write more checks if he wanted to?</div>
<p><div>For now, though, if you were waiting to tell me what rate you wanted, it might be smart to pull the trigger and call me (801-310-3407) or email me (chris@lehilender.com) or tweet me (@chrisjoneslehi).  We could be in for a fun ride here.</div>
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		<title>NEW LOAN PROGRAMS!!  REALLY!</title>
		<link>http://thechrisjonesgroup.com/chrisjonesmortgage/2009/05/19/new-loan-programs-really/</link>
		<comments>http://thechrisjonesgroup.com/chrisjonesmortgage/2009/05/19/new-loan-programs-really/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 May 2009 21:27:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>chrisjones</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog & News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Finance 101]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rate Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[downpayment assistance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DU Refi Plus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage industry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage lending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage loans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage modification]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://thechrisjonesgroup.com/chrisjonesmortgage/?p=677</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Once, a thousand years ago, there were new loan programs coming out every day or two.  Now there are only a few left, and no innovation coming from the private loan markets, because it is the Fed that is doing all the dictating. But they are doing some dictating.  Yesterday HUD said it is writing [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div>Once, a thousand years ago, there were new loan programs coming out every day or two.  Now there are only a few left, and no innovation coming from the private loan markets, because it is the Fed that is doing all the dictating.</div>
<div>
<div>But they are doing some dictating.  Yesterday HUD said it is writing rules for making the $8000 tax credit, currently available to first-time homebuyers, <a href="http://tinyurl.com/oehsot">usable as down payment or closing costs</a>.  This has been on-again, off-again, but HUD apparently means business this time.</div>
</div>
<p><div>We&#8217;ve finally got good requirements for the DU Refi Plus program, also driven by the Feds, that allows people with good credit to refinance their houses up to 105% without changing the terms of the original loan (other than the interest rate).  That means that if you bought with an 80/20 loan, and your current 1st mortgage is not more than 105% of the value of your house, and you can get your second mortgage company to subordinate (tricky, but not impossible), you can probably pull off a refinance and chop your rate, without adding mortgage insurance.  There are no CLTV caps here. Even if the total of your two loans is 140% of the value of your house, as long as the 1st fits into the 105% window, we can take a shot at it.</div>
<p><div>And for those in tight financial straits, maybe missed a payment or two, there are loan modifications possible that can reduce your interest rate substantially.  If you&#8217;ve been hearing about loans being modified to 2% &#8211; that&#8217;s what this is.  And it is not smoke and mirrors.  There really are such programs.</div>
<p><div>Bottom line, folks, is that there are a lot of options out there for those that are looking at financing their homes, whether purchase or consolidation, or what have you.  We&#8217;re answering lots of questions about this stuff every day, so if you get voicemail, just shoot me an email or leave me a message, and keep trying.</div>
<p><div>Oh, and rates are flat after a bad-but-not-terrible-day yesterday.  Housing numbers actually improved, if you strip out multi-family.</div>
<p><div>Cj</div>
<div>801-310-3407</div>
<div>chris@lehilender.com</div>
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		<title>That Does It!  You wanna take this outside?!?</title>
		<link>http://thechrisjonesgroup.com/chrisjonesmortgage/2009/05/19/that-does-it-you-wanna-take-this-outside/</link>
		<comments>http://thechrisjonesgroup.com/chrisjonesmortgage/2009/05/19/that-does-it-you-wanna-take-this-outside/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 May 2009 15:34:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>chrisjones</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog & News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage industry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage lending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage loans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[personal responsibility]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[subprime]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://thechrisjonesgroup.com/chrisjonesmortgage/?p=672</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Okay, I&#8217;ve now officially had it. On Zillow this morning there was a fathead complaining that one servicing lender was not modifying its mortgages in the way that suited him.  He wanted them to be modified according to the government&#8217;s Making Home Affordable plan, instead of the way the servicer preferred.  Leaving aside for a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Okay, I&#8217;ve now officially had it.</p>
<p>On Zillow this morning there was a fathead complaining that one servicing lender was not modifying its mortgages in the way that suited him.  He wanted them to be modified according to the government&#8217;s Making Home Affordable plan, instead of the way the servicer preferred.  Leaving aside for a moment that he didn&#8217;t understand modification of any stripe, essentially he was complaining that a business was not voluntarily giving up enough money.</p>
<p>This is standard stuff, though.  Everyone is complaining right now, because everyone is a victim.  Boo hoo.  Woe is me.  It&#8217;s really quite difficult at the moment to find an adult to have a conversation with about mortgage finance.  I expect that.</p>
<p>But then, the fathead trotted out that mortgage lenders ought to be dragged through the courts like Bernie Madoff.  A week or so ago, a really smart financial planner decided to block me on Twitter because I asked her a tough question &#8211; specifically, isn&#8217;t it better for a family to have a shot at home ownership rather than being shut out of the process altogether?  Isn&#8217;t it better to have a home for a few years, even if that home ends in foreclosure, than never to have had a chance to own one at all?</p>
<p>Having previously rented a house for many years myself, I flatly reject the idea that my family would be better off if we had never gotten a 100% stated-income subprime loan, which is EXACTLY what we have now.  I reject the idea that we have been taken advantage of.  I cannot, in fact, see ANY POSSIBLE WAY that a sane person could contend that we are victims of something.</p>
<p>And here is this fathead arguing that the loan my family and I &#8211; and MILLIONS OF OTHER FAMILIES &#8211; consider a fantastic blessing is somehow a prosecutable offense.</p>
<p><a href="http://thechrisjonesgroup.com/chrisjonesmortgage/wp-content/uploads/2009/05/boxinggloves.jpg"><img class="size-medium wp-image-673 alignleft" style="margin: 5px 10px;" title="boxinggloves" src="http://thechrisjonesgroup.com/chrisjonesmortgage/wp-content/uploads/2009/05/boxinggloves-288x300.jpg" alt="" width="188" height="200" /></a>Well, now I&#8217;m really angry.</p>
<p>I was a loan officer during the insane first two-thirds of this decade.  I personally made, and got for myself, 100% subprime loans.  I made option-ARM loans.  I made no-doc loans.  I participated in practically every part of the home financing extravaganza.  I was there, I did it all, and I don&#8217;t regret one second of it.   In the interest of full disclosure, I have now had three clients default on loans that were made to them, all of them for investment properties and all of them done, originally, AS investment property loans.  I still do not have a client that has lost his primary residence due to foreclosure.  My clients understood their loans, because I explained them in detail.  That&#8217;s what professionals do.</p>
<p>Regardless, even the BAD loan officers have something in common with the pros, and that is that the borrowers signed the bleeping documents.  With a few obvious and rare exceptions, every single person that is being foreclosed on right now knew in advance that he was betting heavily on a risky proposition.  There&#8217;s the celebrated <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/05/17/magazine/17foreclosure-t.html&amp;OQ=_rQ3D1&amp;OP=2b409c23Q2F!gQ3FI!DG_)6GGQ5E.!.Q7CQ7Cz!Q7CQ2A!Tx!Q2BCQ5BCQ23L9Q3F!Tx5G6Q3F_OG)J6Q3FZQ5EBQ51Q5EQ2BO">NY Times financial columnist</a> that is eight months delinquent on his house.  My heart breaks.  He&#8217;s still living in a very fancy house in a spectacular neighborhood.  How, exactly, has he been taken advantage of?</p>
<p>It&#8217;s like we have no ability to understand what hardship consists of.  Everything that doesn&#8217;t go exactly according to our most fevered dreams is somehow a tragedy?  Nobody&#8217;s life is &#8220;ruined&#8221; by getting to live in an unsustainably large house for two years until reality sets back in and we have to rent a condo.  But somehow, this is the end of all life on earth, to hear it told on the news.  Yes, there were people that were outright lied to.  This happens, and I fervently wish it did not.  But the overwhelming majority of people &#8220;caught in the subprime meltdown&#8221; got caught in the famous monkey trap, where they simply will not let go of the acorn so they can get their hand out.</p>
<p>This is now the lenders&#8217; fault.  Never mind the pressure the lenders were under &#8211; don&#8217;t think I&#8217;ve forgotten this &#8211; to make sure <em>everyone </em>could participate in the American Dream.  Because, you know, it isn&#8217;t fair that some people can afford houses and some can&#8217;t.  So lenders came up with ways to extend credit even to people that had no business borrowing, because they knew they could lay off the risk, and besides, doesn&#8217;t real estate just go up and up in an ascending spiral forever?</p>
<p>Stupid, yes.  Evil, no.  Prosecutable, no.  Lots of people are hyperventilating about all this.  Just stop it.  You&#8217;re embarrassing yourselves.</p>
<p>You want someone to take responsibility?  Take it yourself.  Take responsibility for having too much debt.  Take responsibility for not having been conservative enough with your investments.  Take responsibility for signing loan documents you didn&#8217;t understand.  <em>You&#8217;re trying to tell me you didn&#8217;t know that signing legal documents without a clear understanding of what is on them is stupid?</em> <em>Really?  You didn&#8217;t know?</em></p>
<p>Stop feeling sorry for people that lived in bigger houses than they could afford.  Here&#8217;s a tough question: would you rather live in a mud hut in the Andes or a 4200 sq ft house on half an acre in St Louis?  But wait! Before you answer, if you choose the house in St. Louis you&#8217;ll be foreclosed on after three years!</p>
<p>Sigh.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t even feel sorry for our children.  I grant you that compounding the stupidity of saddling themselves with enormous debt, their parents are now electing politicians that think the best way to get rid of excess debt is to transfer it from those that incurred it to everyone altogether, sort of a tax on the sane (but then, that&#8217;s democracy, and that&#8217;s why it doesn&#8217;t work.  Ask the Athenians).  It&#8217;s okay.  Most of our children were in a fair way to being ruined by having everything they wanted whenever they wanted it, and they&#8217;ll grow up substantially improved by the idea that they might have to work really hard and save for a long time before they can have what they want most.  Hardship can be a blessing, if you handle it right.  I still have some confidence that kids will handle things right, even if their parents are, by and large, spoiled rotten.</p>
<p>This was going to be a short rant, and has turned into a long one.  I am not, really, depressed about our current situation.  I think we&#8217;re going to be fine, though admittedly my definition of fine is a bit different from that of most people.  But please, please, people.  Stop blaming the lenders.  Stop blaming the brokers.  Stop looking around for somewhere else to put the blame.</p>
<p>It belongs to all of us.</p>
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		<title>It&#8217;s Not Pork, It&#8217;s HAM.</title>
		<link>http://thechrisjonesgroup.com/chrisjonesmortgage/2009/03/04/its-not-pork-its-ham/</link>
		<comments>http://thechrisjonesgroup.com/chrisjonesmortgage/2009/03/04/its-not-pork-its-ham/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 Mar 2009 00:29:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>chrisjones</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Ask The Magician & FAQ]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Blog & News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Finance 101]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rate Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HAM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage lending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage modification]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pork]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://thechrisjonesgroup.com/chrisjonesmortgage/?p=446</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The government unveiled the Home Affordable Modification (HAM) program today, and the provisions are interesting, exciting, and devastating, depending on who you are. First the interesting part.  If you are: 1. Anyone with an FHA or VA loan 2. Anyone that doesn&#8217;t own a home 3. Anyone that has a mortgage greater than $729,750 (don&#8217;t [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The government unveiled the Home Affordable Modification (HAM) program today, and the provisions are interesting, exciting, and devastating, depending on who you are.</p>
<p>First the interesting part.  If you are:</p>
<div>1. Anyone with an FHA or VA loan</div>
<div>2. Anyone that doesn&#8217;t own a home</div>
<div>3. Anyone that has a mortgage greater than $729,750 (don&#8217;t ask me, I didn&#8217;t make it up)</div>
<div>4. Anyone that got a new mortgage this year</div>
<div>5. Anyone that cannot verify his income</div>
<div>6. Anyone that is not willing to claim &#8220;financial hardship&#8221;, meaning some sort of negative change to employment, income, or loan terms over the past year or so</div>
<div>then the terms of the HAM program are interesting, because you don&#8217;t qualify for a mortgage modification under this program, and that means that the benefit you get from this is that your tax dollars are going to be used to pay other people&#8217;s mortgages for the next seven or eight years.</div>
<div>If you are not any of the people described above, then you at least have a shot.  Your lender MUST consider your application if you ask them to (though they can eventually reject it).  Your HAM comes in the following flavor:</div>
<div>1. Your interest rate will be modified by your lender until your mortgage payment is 31% of your gross monthly income, or just above that.  By &#8220;payment&#8221;, they mean principal, interest, taxes, insurance, and HOA or condo fees.  The rate may be reduced as low as 2%, but no lower.</div>
<div>2. There are no costs to you of any kind.</div>
<div>3. The interest rate will remain at the reduced level for 5 years, at which point it will rise, 1% per year, until it hits the rate cap.  The rate cap is the market interest rate at the time of modification &#8211; today it would be 5.25%.  Your rate will remain at that level until the note is due or the loan paid off.</div>
<div>Sound exciting?  Thought it would.  Here are the things that <em>don&#8217;t matter</em>:</div>
<div>You have a bad credit score</div>
<div>You are currently delinquent</div>
<div>You are currently in foreclosure</div>
<div>You are currently bankrupt</div>
<div>You are upside down in your house (owe more than it is worth)</div>
<div>None of these things will disqualify you.  The lender is going to verify your income, and they are going to try to prove that you are <em>not </em>a danger to default, so they can deny you.  It is not in the lender&#8217;s interest to modify your loan, so be prepared for skepticism and the third degree.  But if you qualify, the lender MUST grant the modification.</div>
<div>Now for the devastating part.</div>
<div>If you are hoping this will help the economy, you&#8217;re delusional.  Yes, it will probably stem the tide of foreclosures, at least a good chunk of them.  But the damage to servicing banks will be beyond anything yet imagined, and all of them &#8211; ALL OF THEM &#8211; will have to be nationalized.  Essentially, the federal government will be the only lending entity in the US.</div>
<div>Don&#8217;t believe me?  Think I&#8217;m exagerrating?  Check this out: the government estimates that seven to nine million homeowners will benefit from this program.  Ha.  The problem with the government in general and THIS government specifically is that they don&#8217;t understand how markets work.  People are going to move Heaven and Earth to get a slice of this HAM.  A fixed rate for 5 years as low as 2%?  I know good, decent people that would commit felonies for that.</div>
<div>But they don&#8217;t have to.  Not by a long shot.  All they have to do is get in financial trouble.  Do I have to describe to you the myriad ways that is possible?  Come with me as I describe just one: furloughs.  As an employer, I have two employees that might qualify for this program.  As a small business owner perpetually strapped for cash, I can always use to reduce my expenses.  All I have to do is furlough my people and PRESTO! they&#8217;re going to qualify.  The business reduces its overhead, the employees get a large, government-mandated interest reduction, and everyone is happy except Countrywide and Wells Fargo, who have mortgages currently at 6.5% that will now be at 3%.  I hire the people back, and away we go.  It&#8217;s so simple it makes stealing candy from a toddler look like a manned mission to Mars.</div>
<div>That&#8217;s one idea.  It took me and my staff exactly seven minutes to come up with it, and we are not excessively bright, either.  There are some really smart people out there, and I can&#8217;t wait to see what they come up with.  They have time &#8211; the program continues for another three and a half years.</div>
<div>Did you miss the part where this is devastating?  Let me explain.  Banks currently have on their balance sheets loans at certain interest rates.  Now, the bad loans everyone knows about, but the good ones are the things that keep the bad ones from destroying the entire enterprise.  HAM takes those loans and makes them all spectacularly risky.  No bank will be able to count on those 6%, 30-year notes to non-delinquent borrowers remaining on their balance sheets.  At any time they might be forced to modify them to much lower rates.  They can&#8217;t be securitized well under those circumstances.  Banks can&#8217;t back lending with assets they can&#8217;t estimate the value of.  Around and around we go.  Let&#8217;s stick it to the banks, we say, then we wonder why nobody can get a mortgage loan anymore.  These are businesses, and they exist only so long as they can make money.  When they can&#8217;t, what used to happen was that they went bankrupt and a competitor bought them.  Now what happens is that the government takes them over.  I confidently predict that almost every servicing bank in the US will have that happen in the next 18 months because of this program.</div>
<div>It&#8217;s also devastating for the mortgage lending industry, of which I am a tiny part.  At one blow, more than half of my potential lending pool was destroyed by HAM.  All of my conventional borrowers, with the exception of those that have so much income that a 31% DTI wouldn&#8217;t help them, are no longer candidates for refinances.  I spent 10 years building a database large enough to sustain my business, and now, essentially, I have to build the entire thing all over again with FHA borrowers and purchasers.  It is vanishingly unlikely that I will be able to do so in this kind of market.  The one saving grace of my business this last year and a half has been low interest rates.  Well, they&#8217;re still low.  But they&#8217;re not THAT low.  How can I compete with the Audacity of Hope?</div>
<div>So there you have it, folks.  The Home Affordable Mortgage program.  If I didn&#8217;t already know, I&#8217;d wonder if pork and ham came from the same animal.</div>
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