Posts Tagged ‘utah mortgage broker’

RateWatch – All Eyes on the Fed

Market: Flat. We’re down 16 bps, which doesn’t signify.  It’s been this way since Monday.  Rates holding 5.25%-5.5%, depending on about 84 things.

Analysis: The Fed is meeting, and should release something in about an hour.  The fun part is predicting a) what they will say and b) what will happen to the markets when they do.  Consensus is that nobody knows anything.  The Fed will almost certainly do nothing with rates, but if they did, they would have to raise.  Would that be good or bad?  Nobody knows.

One thing to bear in mind is the huge number of Alt-A mortgage resets coming in the next 24 months from Option ARM and other exotic mortgages.  Right now, those resets are not all that bad, just as most subprime resets weren’t that bad – despite what you hear on the news – because everything is indexed to the Fed and LIBOR rates, and those rates are lower than a 3-year-old with a lump of coal at Christmas.  If the Fed raises, which many are urging, to protect the value of the dollar, that may help curb inflation, which we’re not seeing any of yet, but it will also make those resets hurt more, which will crush what’s left of the banking system.

Don’t you wish you were Ben Bernanke?  Gee, I do.

Cj

Chris Jones
City 1st Mortgage Services, Utah’s Lender of Choice (and most everywhere else, too)
801-310-3407

HVCC and AMCs: Three huge problems. One simple solution.

Technical mortgage warning: this post is intended to mortgage industry professionals, and believe it or not, we’re interested in what it says.  You probably won’t be, and no one will blame you for clicking here and going to somewhere more fun.

The Home Valuation Code of Conduct (HVCC) is causing a firestorm of controversy and a growing wave of disgust across all parts of the mortgage industry.  I’ve already said before that I think it’s not going anywhere, and why, so I won’t rehash that, but as I was thinking about it the other day, I realized why I wasn’t as upset about the HVCC as others are.  And I realized that I had a solution to the frustration out there.

There’s nothing seriously wrong with the HVCC.  There is, however, something seriously wrong with the appraisal management companies (AMCs) that administer it.  The problem is this: almost all of them suck.

What used to happen, in brief, was that the loan officer would order the appraisal directly from the appraiser, who passed the completed appraisal back to the LO, and ordinarily this resulted in fairly quick service, or the LO would simply use a different appraiser next time.  Now, though, the LO has to order the appraisal from an AMC, which then orders the appraisal from the appraiser.  When completed, the appraiser transfers it to the AMC, which sends it to the LO.  Sounds simple, though not as simple as it used to be.

There are 3 problems with this:

1. The AMC takes a large cut of the appraisal fee for doing piddly.

2. The AMC slows down the process because it’s incompetent.

3. The AMC, as an intermediary, reduces the feedback between the business end of the loan (the LO) and the appraiser, which results in slower service and worse appraisals.

Let’s look at each of these three more closely.

1. The AMC takes a large cut of the appraisal fee for doing piddly. Well, yes, but not always.  Where there is competition in the marketplace, where LOs are free to select any AMC they like, this happens less often.  Where the problem comes in is where the AMC is the subsidiary of the lender, so that the LO has no choice but to use the AMC the lender dictates.  This used to be illegal.  No lender could dictate to an LO a particular appraiser he had to use.  But now, effectively, they can do this.  The AMC has a sweetheart deal with the lender, and screws exorbitant fees out of the borrower, while paying the appraiser less than standard wage.

It doesn’t have to be this way.  Appraisers can and should fight back by refusing to perform appraisals for AMCs that pay less than full fees.  LOs should ask for a fee sheet from the AMC, and the AMCs should be required to provide one.  If the AMC fee adds more than $100 to the cost of the appraisal, the LO should choose a different AMC, if at all possible.

Personally, I refuse to do business with an AMC that shorts appraisers money.  I went to my broker (at City 1st we have the advantage of being correspondent) and fought for the right to use an AMC that made my appraisers happy by paying them what they were worth.  LOs have much much more power with their brokers than with the State of New York.  Time to use some of that power on behalf of the many great appraisers that are being hurt by the HVCC – hurt because we haven’t cared enough to protect them.

2. The AMC slows down the process because it’s incompetent. AMCs are made up of people.  Generally, these aren’t the world’s most competent people.  Their customer service sucks, they’re slow, they charge too much, they’re unresponsive, or they burst into tears when they get criticized (this is not a made-up deal, ask @mortgagereports).  In short, they’re small, understaffed businesses.  But be fair.  Are these guys worse than your local contractor?  Your DMV?  Are they a lot worse than most appraisers?  No.  They aren’t.  But this is no compliment – the aforementioned “service” personnel are among the most proverbially terrible for customer relations.

The fix for this in the contracting world is that there are hundreds of contractors, and the good ones do well, and the idiots die off as word gets around.  Good plumbers and good mechanics and good appraisers float to the top.  You can find them, because the market makes it possible to find them.  What would happen if a contractor had a monopoly, got to build all the houses in a particular zip code?  That’s the DMV, and that’s what happens when you don’t allow competition.  But that, again, is what the HVCC allows that it should not – AMCs to be owned by, and exclusively provide appraisals for, particular lenders.  The good AMCs – and they are out there, I use one myself – are actually faster than my old process.  They’re easier to use, and I get better service than I ever did.  But I shopped.  I was lucky – I could.  If you can, you should, too, and let the incompetent companies die.

3. The AMC, as an intermediary, reduces the feedback between the business end of the loan (the LO) and the appraiser, which results in slower service and worse appraisals. Tough to argue this one.  Intermediaries are rarely a good solution to any problem – except where getting the relevant parties together directly (in this case the LO and the appraiser) could result in conflict or undue influence.  And that, ladies and gentlemen, is what the HVCC was supposed to prevent.  AMCs are supposed to solve this problem, but most of them simply create a new and larger one.

Does it have to be this way?  Absolutely not.  A good AMC could function better than a large appraisal company, taking orders in and efficiently passing them to the appraisers, while helping maintain a degree of autonomy for the appraisers.  The appraisers should be happy that they are not getting heat about their values, and that they no longer have to perform collections.  LOs should be happy that they don’t have to worry about overloading their appraisers in heavy times, causing slowdowns in performance, and they should be thrilled to be relieved of the task of selecting and vetting new appraisers all the time.  HVCC ought to make everyone better off.

But it doesn’t.  And it doesn’t, again, not because of what the HVCC contains, but what it doesn’t contain.  It doesn’t contain the one sentence that would make all of the above go away:

“No lender may mandate the use of any specific AMC for the performance of appraisal services.”

That’s it.  Instantaneously, AMCs like the one I use would get huge influxes of business, because they’re excellent at their job, they treat appraisers like professionals, and their customer service is outstanding.  The bad AMCs, and those are everywhere, would dry up and blow away, or they’d improve in a hurry.  Just like everywhere else in the economy.  Just like LOs, like lenders, like appraisers.

All of this frustration, all this lost business, all the howling and letter-writing and distractions from us simply doing our jobs, all of it, would go away.  We don’t need to force the State of New York and the FHFA, two gigantic bureaucracies, to completely toss out the results of two years of lawsuit.  All we need is one sentence.

Probably, it’s too much to ask.  But I’m asking, all the same.

RateWatch GREEN Alert!

This is one of the reasons that I don’t just slavishly follow the recommendations from the marketwatchers I subscribe to – nor should you slavishly follow mine.

Earlier today the bond market opened down 41 bps, then reversed to even, then lost 16 more bps and we got all sorts of “alert to lock” warnings.  Currently, the market is up 53 bps and the afternoon rally is well and truly under way.  I can’t say I expected this, but I’m glad of it.  And very glad we ignored the warnings this morning.

Inflation was tame this morning (and more than tame – we had deflationary pressure) and that is helping a lot.

For now, rates are moving the right direction, and slowly, slowly, we are climbing back out of the hole of two weeks ago.  Keep your fingers crossed, and for Heaven’s sake, make sure I have enough information on your loan that I can lock if we hit the rate you want.  Do not get caught short on this.

RateWatch – About Face, Forward March

Market: Apparently the world bond markets like it when I go out of town, because we got a sharp rally Thursday, followed it with a solid day Friday, and we’re up another 70 bps this morning.  For those just joining us, that means rates are falling.  We’ve not reached the levels we were at two weeks ago, but we pegged back all of the loss since.  That makes the 30-year at about 5.25% for a conventional and fairly similar for an FHA.  AS ALWAYS, your specific situation will make those numbers rise or fall.

Analysis: Well, not so fast.  The “recovery” (which those of you that follow us closely know we have never believed in) has not been overly juicy, and today’s manufacturing numbers were even worse than forecast.  The Obama Administration continues to blame the economy they inherited for the bad employment numbers we’re seeing, and still defend the stimulus package as necessary to keep things from getting worse.  I’m not sold on that, but I am a pragmatist – this is what we have, so let’s deal with it.  I don’t expect that the economy will roar back – that’s some time off, and very tenuous at best – but I also don’t think things are going to get (visibly) much worse in the near future.  We should be okay through the summer.

Assuming we have summer.  Utah is basically stuck in April.

P.S. For those that like to see the little guy make good, I address you to Zillow’s Mortgages Unzipped blog, where they have a new columnist.  You might know the fellow.

RateWatch – Same Stuff, Different Day

Market: Employment figures came in significantly less awful than was expected, and now everyone is sure that a recovery is underway.  If so, this will be the most tepid recovery in the history of mankind, a recovery that in any other time would be called “a depression”, but nonetheless lenders are marking their rates higher as fast as they can go.  Mortgage-backed securities are down 66 bps, after losing 105 yesterday, the third 100+ point drop in just over a week.  That makes rates on Utah mortgages 5.5% on conventionals and FHA (nationally, rates will also be in that range), and nobody in their right mind will tell you he doesn’t think they’re headed higher from here.

Analysis: California is bankrupt.  GM is now owned by the government, which is itself carrying $10 trillion in debt and racking up new debt at $2 trillion a year.  Baby boomers are retiring without any money saved up.  Unemployment is 9.4% and rising.  And yet, traders are pretty sure that stocks are a better bet than bonds.  I think this reflects not great confidence in the stock market; rather, I think traders are losing confidence in the security of bonds.  The stock market is up a little, but we’re still at hilariously low levels looking back 5 years.  Bonds, meanwhile, are still at very low levels, historically speaking.  Heck, last year at this time we were seeing rates in the 6.25% range, and even THAT was very low on a historical scale.

My Realtor friends, from Jimmy Rex to Greg Adamson to Travis Eggett, tell me that this is looking like a good year for the housing market, and that things are already quite a bit better than they were this time last year.  The news is not all bad, and I don’t want to give that impression.  If you’re refinancing, current conditions might be a signal that you’re stuck with the loan you have.  If you’re purchasing, though, this is still the best time to buy that I can remember.